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Wednesday, 26 September 2018

Bayesian networks for trauma prognosis


There is an excellent online resource produced by Barbaros Yet that summarises the results of collaboration between the Risk and Information Management research group at Queen Mary and the Trauma Sciences Unit, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry. This work focused on developing Bayesian network (BN) models to improve decision support for trauma patients.

The website not only describes two BN models in detail (one for predicting acute traumatic coagulopathy in early stage of trauma care and one for predicting the outcomes of traumatic lower extremities with vascular injuries) but allows you to run the models in real time showing summary risk calculations after you enter observations about a patient.

The models are powered by AgenaRisk.

Links:

  • http://traumamodels.com/
  •  Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Marsh DWR, Tai NRM, Rasmussen TE (2018). “Long-term, patient centered outcomes of Lower Extremity Vascular Trauma”, Journal of Trauma and Acute Surgery. DOI:10.1097/TA.0000000000001956 
  • Yet B, Perkins ZB, Tai NR, and Marsh DWR (2017). “Clinical Evidence Framework for Bayesian Networks” Knowledge and Information Systems, 50(1), pp.117-143.DOI:10.1007/s10115-016-0932-1 
  •  Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Cole E, Marsh W, Brohi K, Rasmussen TE, Tai NRM (2015). “Meta-analysis of prognostic factors for amputation following surgical repair of lower extremity vascular trauma” British Journal of Surgery, 12 (5), pp. 436-450. DOI:10.1002/bjs.9689
  • Yet B, Perkins ZB, Rasmussen TE et al.(2014). Combining data and meta-analysis to build Bayesian networks for clinical decision support. J Biomed Inform vol. 52, 373-385. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2014.07.018   http://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/23055
  • Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Cole E, Marsh W, Brohi K, Rasmussen TE, Tai NRM (2015). “Meta-analysis of prognostic factors for amputation following surgical repair of lower extremity vascular trauma” British Journal of Surgery, 12 (5), pp. 436-450. DOI:10.1002/bjs.9689
  • Yet B, Perkins ZB, Rasmussen TE, Tai NR, and Marsh DWR (2014). “Combining Data and Meta-analysis to Build Bayesian Networks for Clinical Decision Support” Journal of Biomedical Informatics , 52, pp.373-385. DOI:10.1016/j.jbi.2014.07.018
  • Yet B, Perkins Z, Fenton N et al.(2014). Not just data: a method for improving prediction with knowledge. J Biomed Inform vol. 48, 28-37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2013.10.012
  • Yet B, Perkins Z, Tai N et al.(2014). Explicit evidence for prognostic Bayesian network models. Stud Health Technol Inform vol. 205, 53-57. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-432-9-53
  • Perkins Z, Yet B, Glasgow S et al. (2013). EARLY PREDICTION OF TRAUMATIC COAGULOPATHY USING ADMISSION CLINICAL VARIABLES. SHOCK. vol. 40, 25-25.

Tuesday, 4 September 2018

It's finally arrived...

Still waiting to get our own copies of the second edition of the book, but one of our PhD students just received his copy, so it is real! Note that sample chapters and lots of other resources are available on the book's blog. The first edition (published Dec 2012) has 437 Google scholar citations, and many dozens of 5-star reviews on Amazon.